Affichage des articles dont le libellé est [news] Morgan Stanley announces China to become high-income status by 2027. Afficher tous les articles
Affichage des articles dont le libellé est [news] Morgan Stanley announces China to become high-income status by 2027. Afficher tous les articles

[news] Morgan Stanley announces China to become high-income status by 2027

mardi 14 février 2017

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[news] Morgan Stanley announces China to become high-income status by 2027
Old Today, 04:13 PM   #1

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[news] Morgan Stanley announces China to become high-income status by 2027


We expect China to avoid a financial shock and achieve high income status by 2027. Our view is that moving to higher value-added activities will propel the economy forward and drive the continued medium term outperformance of MSCI China versus MSCI EM, providing significant investment opportunities.

More importantly, we estimate that China will be able to attain
a high income status by 2027 as we expect per capita incomes to
reach US$12,900 by then, up from US$8,100 currently, thereby
crossing the high-income threshold of US$12,500. China will therefore
have broken out of the middle income trap and joined the rarefied
ranks of a high income society, which has been achieved by only
two large economies with a population of above 20m (Korea and
Poland) over the past three decades. Indeed, the attainment of high
income status will be the key defining moment in China's economic
development over the next decade.

source: morgan stanley bluepaper on China, Feb 13 2017

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